TY - JOUR
T1 - Coherent beliefs are not always types
AU - Heifetz, Aviad
AU - Samet, Dov
PY - 1999/12
Y1 - 1999/12
N2 - For two interacting agents, we construct a space of nature states S and a coherent hierarchy of beliefs (σ-additive probability measures) of one agent about S, about S and the beliefs of the other agent about S, and so on - a hierarchy that has no σ-additive coherent extension over S and the hierarchies of the other agent. Thus, this hierarchy of beliefs cannot be the description of the beliefs of some type in some Harsanyi [Harsanyi, J.C., 1967-1968. Games with incomplete information played by Bayesian players, parts I, II, and III. Man. Sc. 14, 159-182, 320-334, 486-502] type space. Therefore, the space C of coherent hierarchies over S properly contains the universal space T* of 'all possible types' over S. We show how to extract T* out of C in a transfinite process.
AB - For two interacting agents, we construct a space of nature states S and a coherent hierarchy of beliefs (σ-additive probability measures) of one agent about S, about S and the beliefs of the other agent about S, and so on - a hierarchy that has no σ-additive coherent extension over S and the hierarchies of the other agent. Thus, this hierarchy of beliefs cannot be the description of the beliefs of some type in some Harsanyi [Harsanyi, J.C., 1967-1968. Games with incomplete information played by Bayesian players, parts I, II, and III. Man. Sc. 14, 159-182, 320-334, 486-502] type space. Therefore, the space C of coherent hierarchies over S properly contains the universal space T* of 'all possible types' over S. We show how to extract T* out of C in a transfinite process.
KW - Coherent beliefs
KW - Probabilistic uncertainty
KW - Types
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=0041731139&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/S0304-4068(98)00066-4
DO - 10.1016/S0304-4068(98)00066-4
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AN - SCOPUS:0041731139
SN - 0304-4068
VL - 32
SP - 475
EP - 488
JO - Journal of Mathematical Economics
JF - Journal of Mathematical Economics
IS - 4
ER -