Abstract
We present a puzzle about knowledge, probability and conditionals. We show that in certain cases some basic and plausible principles governing our reasoning come into conflict. In particular, we show that there is a simple argument that a person may be in a position to know a conditional the consequent of which has a low probability conditional on its antecedent, contra Adams’ Thesis. We suggest that the puzzle motivates a very strong restriction on the inference of a conditional from a disjunction.
Original language | English |
---|---|
Pages (from-to) | 473-478 |
Number of pages | 6 |
Journal | Nous |
Volume | 52 |
Issue number | 2 |
DOIs | |
State | Published - Jun 2018 |
Bibliographical note
Publisher Copyright:© 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.